Is Mamta Banerjee a corrupt politician

COALITION No Indian party has achieved its own majority for 25 years. This time too, the winners will have to rely on regional parties

DELHI taz | The future Prime Minister of India will almost certainly become a man - and presumably owe his power to a woman. No party in India has had its own majority for 25 years. This year the BJP's electoral alliance is likely to win the most seats, but will be short of at least 20 to 30 seats from the majority. These could come from one of three powerful regional parties, all led by women politicians.

The prime minister of the southern state of Tamil Nadu, Jayalalithaa Jayaram, offers herself quite directly as a supporter of the BJP. During the election campaign, she is said to have instructed her employees not to criticize the BJP and its top candidate Narendra Modi. The 66-year-old former actress is said to have an authoritarian leadership style and corruption. Her Tamil party AIADMK only has 9 seats in the current parliament, but according to election forecasts the number should increase to 25 to 30.

The Prime Minister of West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee, is more cautious, whose center-left Trinamool Congress (“grassroots congress”) won in 2008 against the Communist Party, which has ruled for decades and has ruled the state ever since. In this electoral term she still supported the congressional government with 19 MPs, but abruptly ended the coalition in 2012. The number of Trinamool MPs will probably also rise to around 30 this time. Banerjee considers Modi to be “unsuitable” as prime minister, but has not openly rejected a coalition with the BJP.

Mayawati Kumari heads the Bahujan Samaj Party in Uttar Pradesh, India's largest state. Having risen from an untouchable caste, Kumari also recruits its supporters primarily from disadvantaged castes. It currently has 21 seats, but these could be reduced to 10 to 15 in the election. She has so far rejected a coalition with the BJP, but has worked with her in the past.

In addition to the parties, the Socialist Party and the Left Front, led by the Communist Party, are likely to get 15 to 20 seats each. That they support the Hindu nationalists, however, is as good as impossible. Janata Dal (United), who ruled the state of Bihar, could also get around 20 seats again, but only recently renounced the BJP. LALON SANDER